Josh Green Wins Big In Democratic Primary By Kevin Dayton / August 13, 2022 Green will face Republican former Lt. Gov. Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters, Democrats held onto or gained trifectas in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. The polls overall margin for error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, but questions asked of only Democrat or Republican primary voters had larger margins of error. Activate your Digital Account now. Officials can start processing and tabulating ballots up to 18 days before Election Day (ballots were mailed out in late July, and early, in-person voting was also available), but no results are released until the last person in line at a polling place has voted. Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket makes the math slightly easier for a Republican upset. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows, Misdemeanor probe into Honolulu police union leadership forwarded to state Attorney General, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: June 13 June 17, 2022. The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. Skip to content. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Candidate Total Votes Democratic primary election Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018. Our campaign is gaining significant momentum, and our own internal polls show Vicky Cayetano has surged to a much stronger #2 in the race. , Senator Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, a 2020 election denier, defeated Lt. Gov. Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. Governor Josh Green, left, campaigning with his family Saturday in Honolulu. Alicia Parlapiano #HIGov #Hileg", "Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami endorses Kirk Caldwell in governor's race", "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. IE 11 is not supported. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaii's next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval . Another participant, Natasha Shinyame, a 40-year-old flooring contractor from Mililani, said she prefers Cayetano. Mr. Kahele, a first-term congressman and former state senator, focused more on campaign finance and governance issues than on housing, arguing that reforms like banning corporate campaign contributions and imposing term limits for elected officials would break the barriers that keep average voters from steering our state government.. Duke Aiona and a Honolulu City Council member, Heidi Tsuneyoshi. Jill Tokuda campaigned in Kapolei, Hawaii, on Saturday. All rights reserved. And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. A voter dropped off a ballot in Honolulu in 2020. In contrast, Kahele had stronger numbers among the younger group. John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. For the 317 Democratic responses for their preference for governor and lieutenant governor in the Democratic primary, the margin of error was plus or minus 5.6%. Of those, 782 were Democratic primary voters, giving the representative poll a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Undecided votes critical in tight race for lieutenant governor, Hawaii Poll reveals isle voters attitudes toward Ige, Blangiardi, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: December 27 December 31, 2021, Shut down Red Hill fuel facility, most Hawaii voters say. Print subscriber but without online access? Republican Kevin Kiley is an odds-on favorite to win this new open seat. Only 4% of Republican voters do not recognize his name, according to the Hawaii Poll, compared with 12% of Republicans who do not recognize Aionas name. The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Civil Beat Politics and Opinion Editor Chad Blair said if Penn wins the nomination, his criminal record will be questioned. Mahalo for supporting Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Only two Republicans have been elected governor, and Linda Lingle was the only one to be re-elected, in 2006. were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Lawmakers picked Saturday in an attempt to boost voter turnout, according to Hawaii House Journal records provided by the Hawaii State Archives. Meanwhile, 16% said theyd back Kahele and 15% said they planned to vote for Cayetano. Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. These numbers are a good sign.. Mr. Schatz, as the states lieutenant governor, was a rising political star in Hawaii when he was appointed to the Senate. Some 48% of Hawaii voters say they support Green. Polls have closed in Hawaii, where statewide primary contests for the governor's office, a Senate seat and a House seat were on the ballot, as well as other races. The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. These mirages show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. that guide every prediction he makes. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Nov. 8, 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. See the rest of our predictions. Todays voting will decide the balance of power in Congress. Mr. Green, who became very popular among Hawaii residents as the states Covid liaison, has emphasized Hawaiis low infection rate compared with most other states. They both want Congress to codify the rights Roe v. Wade used to protect and to repeal the Hyde Amendment, which bans federal funding for most abortions. Already a subscriber? Hes the most popular politician in Hawaii, thats for sure. , Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washingtons Eighth Congressional District. The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. Representative Kai Kahele, Lt. Gov. , Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire was re-elected, holding on to one of Democrats most vulnerable seats in a tight contest for Senate control. Mr. Greens housing plan includes easing regulations to speed up home construction, allowing development on more public land and targeting illegal vacation units. Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all Some 35% of Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders said they support Green compared to 32% who say theyd back Kahele, who is Native Hawaiian. , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. The leading candidates in the Democratic primary the main attraction given the districts partisan tilt are Jill Tokuda, a former state senator, and Patrick Branco, a state representative. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. Honolulu, HI 96813 However, if my rating for this Hawaiis First District, which covers the Honolulu metropolitan area, does not have a competitive race. Hawaii Governor: Lt. Gov. David Ige, who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Josh Green, Hawaiis second-in-command, wins the Democratic primary for governor. In the Republican race for governor, former Lt. Gov. Alaska held a special House primary on a Saturday in June this year to comply with statutory requirements about the length of time between special primary and special general elections. There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination only one of whom, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell has raised $344,861 and reported $717,678 in cash on hand in the latest fundraising figures. Enjoy this free story! Were tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. The New York Timess results team is a group of graphics editors, engineers and reporters who build and maintain software to publish election results in real-time as they are reported by results providers. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. , Gov. After its voters turned out at the lowest rate of any state about 39 percent in the 2018 general election, lawmakers switched the state to universal mail voting. . time focusing on competitive contests. Mr. Green, 52, a former state legislator and an emergency room doctor, was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. Lazaro Gamio Guns were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, with both Ms. Tokuda and Mr. Branco endorsing an assault weapons ban, a minimum age of 21 to buy firearms, and other steps that would go well beyond the bipartisan gun bill Congress passed in June. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. But the state also offered in-person voting, with polls closing at 7 p.m. Saturday in Hawaii (1 a.m. Eastern time on Sunday) which is also the deadline for mail ballots to be returned. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Democratic Primary Alicia Parlapiano Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. David Ige of Hawaii cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. Maggie Astor He will face the Republican Duke Aiona in this solidly blue state where Jill Tokuda, who won the Democratic primary for a U.S. House seat, and Senator Brian Schatz are likely to prevail in November. According to the poll, Green also has strong support across Hawaiis largest ethnic groups, including those who identify as Caucasians, Japanese and Filipinos. . Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles Nov. 9, 2022, With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. Albert Sun . Jill Tokuda, a former state senator backed by the political arm of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, won the Democratic primary in Hawaiis Second Congressional District, according to The Associated Press, after a sometimes vicious campaign that drew more than a million dollars in outside spending. View Hawaii's 2020 election results for US President, House of Representatives and other key races and ballot measures. In addition to the 2012 N.R.A. Print subscriber but without online access? James 'Duke' Aiona files papers to run for governor", "Vote Gary Cordery for Governor - Gary Cordery For Governor", "Hawaii veteran joins governor's race on Republican ticket", "Paul Morgan To Officially Announce His Candidacy for Hawai'i Governor", "Wanting to eliminate mandates, UFC fighter BJ Penn eyes run for governor", "City Councilmember Heidi Tsuneyoshi announces run for governor", "Businessman's potential gubernatorial run could shake up general election race", "City Council Member Andria Tupola Will Not Run for Governor Next Year", "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor", "NONPARTISAN CANDIDATES IN PARTISAN CONTESTS", "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings", "Josh Green's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Hawaii - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - City and County of Honolulu - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Kauai - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Maui - November 8, 2022", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Hawaii_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1140004094, Richard Kim, dentist, musician, and candidate for governor in 2018. North Carolina's . Maggie Astor In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Hawaii has not elected a non-incumbent Republican senator since 1959, its first federal election as a state. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Lt. , Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. She will be one of the nations first openly lesbian governors. Albert Sun Gov. Among those 18 to 49 years old, some 38% said they would vote for him. Heres what the vote count could look like this year. When asked to respond, Winer said, I helped Kai run for Congress. As any entrepreneur knows, it takes a lot of time and energy to start a new venture, whether it is a business or a campaign. 2018 Hawaii governor . You deserve to hear our thinking. Maggie Astor Georgias Senate race might culminate in a runoff election on Dec. 6 if no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote. Its giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. This goes back to polling place elections when typically schools were used as polling places and would be available on Election Day, Ms. Bueno said. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. Lauren Leatherby Pre-registration is available beginning at age 16. Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. Josh Green Is Racking Up Union Endorsements, Adding To His Momentum", "Editorial: For governor's race, it's Josh Green and Duke Aiona", "Congressman Kaialii Kahele makes official announcement of run for Hawaii Governor", "August 13, 2022 Primary Election - Statewide Summary", "Hawaii Rep. Sylvia Luke Plans To Run For Lieutenant Governor", "State Rep. Sylvia Luke announces run for lieutenant governor", "Keith Amemiya joins race for lieutenant governor", "Ikaika Anderson Launches Campaign for Hawaii Lt. Chris Deluzio, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Pennsylvanias 17th Congressional District. The Hawaii Poll was conducted Jan. 24 to 28 by telephone by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C. The Second Congressional District, which covers most of the state geographically, is electing a new member of Congress after Mr. Kahele decided to run for governor midway through his first term. Beto ORourke performed better than expected in these majority-Hispanic counties. Untold other Democratic voters may subscribe to analyst Moores theory that Greens efforts in helping guide Hawaii through the COVID-19 pandemic cemented his high approval ratings heading into the August primary election. Follow our live analysis and the latest updates. Vote counting is already underway, and initial results are likely to be available soon. My opponents have spent years in public office, yet these same issues cost of housing, undermanaged tourism, an economic recovery plan remain even more critical today., When it comes to former Mayor Caldwell and his approval numbers, Moore said, It wouldnt surprise me if he decided not to run. Our state is at a pivotal point in its history, change is in the wind, and this is an important opportunity to direct our state toward a more resilient future, Caldwell said in a statement. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. All rights reserved. Milner, the political analyst, however, said quitting a political race is not part of Caldwells DNA. The question was put to 320 likely Democratic primary voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. NYT Graphics These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. Activate your Digital Account now. Maggie Astor On the Republican side, former Lt. Gov. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. , Don Bacon, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District. Our internal poll numbers show our base of support is growing, and we will continue to work hard at getting our message out , she said. Who's ahead in the Hawaii governor race? Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022 When polls close Virginias Seventh District is one of three races in the state that could offer an early sign of whether the Democrats can retain control of the House. Alicia Parlapiano Officials have long struggled to get more people to vote in the state. , D.C represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District for him expected in these three enshrined... $ 350,000 loan she gave to her campaign enshrined lasting protections for abortion in. What the vote construction, allowing development on more public land and targeting illegal vacation.. 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